An invitation to readers

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I’m a big baseball fan, making me part of the core audience for TV’s “MLB Network” that launched last January. One of my favorite shows is called “Prime 9,” featuring a run-down of the nine best center fielders of all time, the nine biggest home runs, and so on. The show’s motto is, “Designed to start arguments, not settle them.”

If I had to choose a slogan for my new book The Future Church, I’d probably end up with something a lot like that.

The book is my attempt to describe the ten most important trends shaping the future of the Catholic Church, on a global scale. My choices are the product of almost two decades of reporting, and hundreds of hours of interviews with bishops, priests, religious women and men, and laity all over the Catholic world. They’re not styled as my personal vision for the future, but rather a reporter’s effort to capture those forces which really are most significant today, whatever I (or anyone else) might think about them.

The trends are:

  • A World Church
  • Evangelical Catholicism
  • Islam
  • The New Demographics
  • Expanding Lay Roles
  • The Biotech Revolution
  • Globalization
  • Ecology
  • Multipolarism
  • Pentecostalism

I put a lot of thought into making these choices, but as I note in the book’s introduction, it’s not like this list is chiseled on a set of stone tablets. Anyone can easily argue that one of the trends doesn’t belong, or that there are other equally important forces not represented. Part of the fun is precisely the potential to start debates – to get people talking about what’s really happening in the church, and where we’re headed. I have no illusions about settling that argument, but I hope I’ve at least provided some new fodder for conversation in the pews, around water coolers, in cyber-space, and anywhere else thoughtful Catholics may gather.

On this blog, I’ll keep an eye on current events from the perspective of how they fit into the trends outlined in the book – whether they confirm one of these trajectories, redirect it in some way, or maybe refute it altogether. For now, let’s get the conversation started: What do you think about these ten trends? Is there one you think isn’t worthy of being on the list? Is there another trend that you think should have made the cut?

To return to the baseball metaphor, let’s play ball!

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I wonder if the trend

I wonder if the trend Expanding Lay Roles should be more properly titled, "Expanding Lay Roles Being Significantly Reduced." It seems to me that within the last few years there has been a real emphasis within the Church to reduce the roles of lay ministers and replace them with deacons and/or religious. I believe this is being done because some of the hierarchy is concerned about not having enough controls built in over the laity.

Greetings, Actually, they are

Greetings,

Actually, they are just correcting an issue. FIRST, they called clergy out of the role of the Laity. Pope JP II ordered all priests out of politics. This is the correct role of the laity. Then he called the laity out of the sanctuary as that is the role of the priest. The priest sanctifies the laity. The Laity sanctify the world. We all have a job. The problem is when laity want to be priests, and priests want to be laity.

peace

Your diocese must have many

Your diocese must have many more priests than ours. Our pastor has 4 Churches to deal with, and is not guaranteed to always have a parochial vicar as he now has. Either the laity can have roles in the sanctuary, or many of our sanctuaries will be vacant.

Maybe the idea as we grasp

Maybe the idea as we grasp that consious bits of "dust" in a vast universe is in the biotech field. But I know it weighs on me more than some of the other areas though there in not a one I think that should not be there.

How will any of these so

How will any of these so called "factors" have anything to do with Catholicism as far as faith and doctrine are concerned? What is the difference between a World church and globalization?

GLOBALIZATION is the BUZZ

GLOBALIZATION is the BUZZ word in our Catholic Schools at the moment...worryingly so. i put up some Vatican links on my blog..

In all seriousness and with

In all seriousness and with due respect: really, John?

You really want to have a conversation--on a blog, no less--with bloggers who post to your blog, after you wrote the following about bloggers on October 30?:

"At least in my experience, blogs call to mind what Homer Simpson once said about who watches cable access TV at three in the morning: 'Alcoholics, the unemployed, angry loners …' The vox populi, in other words, it ain't.)"

Don't conversations imply mutual respect among conversation partners? If they're going to be fruitful, they have to imply such respect.

What kind of respect for those who follow your blog and respond to it do you imply with your blanket statement about blogs and bloggers on October 30? And when you don't issue an apology for that statement, despite requests from bloggers offended by the statement that you do so?

Or even a clarification . . . .

Your refusal to apologize or clarify suggests to me that you regard your own blog or the blogs of certain unnamed "authorities" as functioning at some level higher than the level at which most other blogs function.

We might have a fruitful conversation if we first engaged that assumption and those issues. I don't see how we can have a fruitful conversation when we refuse to engage that assumption and those issues, now that it's on the table with your October 30 remark, which hasn't been retracted, clarified, or apologized for. The dynamic that remark sets up, in the absence or retraction, clarification, or apology, is an exploitative one, in which you benefit from comments of bloggers whom you yourself admit you don't really respect.

Dear John, Each time you

Dear John,
Each time you offered an opportunity to contribute thoughts over the years of doing groundwork for this book, I offered a conviction that women's issues should make the list as a church-changing trend. Although I haven't read the book and probably won't have the opportunity in the near future, I need to say I'm deeply disappointed that, once again, women-as-change-force is ignored. I'm tempted to judge that of course, the old saw held: "Women aren't ignored. Their impact is discussed under many other issues." Under what titles will I find women's probable impact on the future church: Expanding Roles for Laity (I understand that religious brothers and sisters are technically laity as well as the rest of us Baptized non-clerical hordes)? The New Demographics: looked at globally I imagine this is one avenue for subsuming women's conceerns. the demgraphics and resulting engergy currents in Africa, Asia, Oceania, Latin America all and each hinge on a growing and more vocal feminine foundation. The same can be said for each of the rest of the trends you deem more important. If it's truly the case, and I think it is: the global, deeply intense, continual reaction and response to one hierarchically authorized process alone (the two U.S. investigations by Rome of women apostolic institutes and a leadership conference) is only one instance of a movement important to our Church's future.

I guess that if "Attending to Women's Concerns" is "covered" in every item you discuss, I wonder what's so sacred about ten trends. Why isn't there an eleventh trend? I remember an NCR article in recent years in which the author purported to bring forth rising worries about "the feminization of the church." Doesn't this say anything? Could it not be another unspoken reason for opening the doors to conservative Anglicans? Or do we have to perpetually live with "not counting women and children?"

With all due respect, when I

With all due respect, when I read John Allen, I tend to forget that I am reading the National Catholic Reporter...and feel more like I am reading the National Catholic REGISTER! He impresses me as the cheerleader of the status quo in the Church. I certainly hope that the Spirit has more in store for the Church in the coming decades--like the FULL implementation of the documents of Vatican II--than the continuation of the tendencies of this Pope and those of his predecessor to restore the Church as it was before Vatican II, which--if I understand him correctly--Allen thinks is in store for the Church.

I find most of the comments

I find most of the comments made by readers of NCR online to be not at all helpful and sometimes full of vitriol both on the right and the left. It would help to have guidelines for respectful dialogue that focus on inquiring into the topic itself in a more objective manner. Until this happens I choose not to waste my time.

I appreciate John Allen's

I appreciate John Allen's reports and analyses. My take on the future church is that the Vatican seems to be doing its best to turn Catholics into a marginal group with little relevance to the North American and European societies evolving today.
Open-minded Catholics are encouraged to leave or join groups like Catholic Womenpriests.

Correct me if I am wrong but

Correct me if I am wrong but I thought Jesus founded the Church as a vehicle to get us to heaven? It can never be the Church of what is happening now but rather more seriously, how can we acheive the goals set by the Second Vatican Council, for example, the universal call to holiness, the creating of holy apostolates by laity, the new evangelization, etc.

Looking forward to the new

Looking forward to the new info!

Any list of Catholic Church

Any list of Catholic Church concerns which does not include nuclear disarmament must be dismissed as unrealistic and inadequate, to say the least. It should be at or very near the top of any such list. If the churches don't mobilize and unite around this issue, the world may not survive long enough to address the other issues.

What a pity that your blogue

What a pity that your blogue does not deal with this momentous event: the return of beauty and tradition within the Catholic Church!

Wow... This blog idea sounded

Wow...

This blog idea sounded interesting.

However, if it's going to degenerate into whining and spleen venting...well, I really don't need the aggrevation.

(Nothing but love for you though, John!)

Maybe a moderator to edit out the vitriol?

Not very impressed with this

Not very impressed with this top 10 list; but then again, I'm not very impressed with most of the comments posted either. This blog appears as if it will be a sounding board for the ever-shrinking 'hermeneutic of rupture' crowd. It's a shame, but not that surprising.

I know the National

I know the National 'Catholic' Reporter is a pretty out-of-touch publication as well as being a fring element of the Catholic media, but the advertisement for "support nuns being investigated by the Vatican" posted by " 'Catholics' Speak Out" is absolutely beyond the pale, and is truely scandalous. The advertisement link leads to a page advocating:
*Gender equality, including ordination for women
*The civil rights of gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender persons
*An end to the rule of celibacy for Catholic clergy
*Full communion for divorced and remarried Catholics
*Due process for church employees and theologians

Shame on you National 'Catholic' Reporter; please stop calling yourself Catholic, as you're anything but.

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